The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) has warned of an unusually intense monsoon season in 2026, citing forecasts of a possible El Niño event that could disrupt rainfall patterns across Pakistan.
Officials said the upcoming monsoon is likely to bring stronger and more frequent spells of rain, increasing the risk of extreme weather events.
Technical expert Dr Tayyab noted a high احتمال of cloudbursts and heavy downpours, with some علاقوں expected to receive a month’s rainfall within just one or two days.
The forecast suggests uneven distribution of rainfall, with parts of Sindh and Balochistan likely to experience below-average precipitation, while other regions may face intense rainfall.
Authorities also raised concerns over rising temperatures in northern areas, which could further aggravate extreme weather conditions.
Flood risks are expected to increase, particularly in the Indus River, which officials consider more vulnerable this season compared to the Ravi River, Sutlej River, and Chenab River.
The NDMA has issued a detailed advisory to provincial authorities, outlining preparedness measures, including emergency response planning, supply management, and improved coordination mechanisms.
Officials said contingency plans are being reviewed to ensure a swift and effective response to potential flooding and other weather-related emergencies.
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